PrizePicks and Polymarket Partner to Bring Regulated Prediction Markets to U.S. Fantasy Sports
The intersection of fantasy sports and prediction markets has long been anticipated but rarely realized in a regulated framework. That changed with the announcement of a multi-year partnership between PrizePicks, the leading daily fantasy sports operator in the United States, and Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market platform. Together, they aim to integrate federally regulated prediction markets into the PrizePicks ecosystem, offering users a new way to engage with sports, entertainment, and cultural events.
This collaboration represents a milestone in the evolution of both industries. For fantasy sports, it expands the scope of user engagement beyond player performance and game outcomes. For prediction markets, it provides a mainstream entry point into the U.S. market, which has been historically constrained by regulatory hurdles. The partnership also signals a broader shift toward legitimizing event contracts as a form of financial product, aligning them with futures and derivatives markets under federal oversight.
The Partnership in Context
PrizePicks has established itself as a dominant force in daily fantasy sports, particularly through its player prop contests that allow users to predict individual athlete performances. Polymarket, by contrast, has built its reputation as a decentralized prediction market platform, enabling users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events ranging from elections to entertainment awards. While Polymarket has enjoyed global popularity, its U.S. presence has been limited due to regulatory restrictions.
The partnership bridges these two worlds. PrizePicks users will soon be able to access Polymarket’s event contracts directly within the PrizePicks app. This integration means that a user accustomed to predicting whether an NFL quarterback will throw for more than 250 yards can also forecast whether a blockbuster film will win Best Picture at the Oscars—all within the same platform. The move expands the definition of “fantasy engagement” to encompass cultural and societal forecasting.
Regulatory Breakthrough
The linchpin of this partnership is regulatory approval. In September 2025, PrizePicks secured a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) license from the National Futures Association (NFA). This license allows the company to legally offer event contracts in the United States, placing it in the same regulatory category as firms like Kalshi and Robinhood that have pursued similar ventures.
The FCM designation is significant because it legitimizes event contracts as financial instruments rather than unregulated wagers. Under this framework, prediction markets are treated similarly to futures contracts on commodities or financial indices. This regulatory clarity provides a pathway for mainstream adoption, ensuring that users can participate in prediction markets with the same legal protections afforded to other financial products.
For Polymarket, the partnership represents a re-entry into the U.S. market after years of regulatory uncertainty. The platform had previously faced challenges due to its decentralized structure and lack of federal oversight. By aligning with PrizePicks, Polymarket gains access to a regulated channel that satisfies compliance requirements while preserving its core functionality.
User Experience and Engagement
From a user perspective, the integration promises to be seamless. PrizePicks users will encounter Polymarket contracts alongside traditional fantasy contests, allowing them to diversify their engagement without leaving the app. The contracts will cover a wide range of events, including:
- Sports outcomes such as playoff qualifications, championship winners, and player milestones.
- Entertainment events like award show results, box office performance, and reality television outcomes.
- Cultural and societal moments, ranging from weather events to technological milestones.
This breadth of coverage transforms PrizePicks into a one-stop platform for forecasting. Users can engage with the sports they already follow while exploring new domains of prediction. The integration also enhances the social dimension of fantasy sports, as users can debate and trade on outcomes that extend beyond the playing field.
Strategic Implications
The partnership carries significant strategic implications for both companies and the broader industry.
PrizePicks
- Diversification of Revenue Streams: By offering prediction markets, PrizePicks can tap into new sources of user spending beyond fantasy contests.
- Expanded Market Footprint: The integration positions PrizePicks as a pioneer in blending fantasy sports with regulated prediction markets, differentiating it from competitors.
- Regulatory Leadership: Securing the FCM license establishes PrizePicks as a leader in compliance, setting a precedent for other fantasy operators considering similar ventures.
Polymarket
- Mainstream U.S. Access: The partnership provides a regulated pathway into the U.S. market, overcoming previous barriers.
- User Base Expansion: By integrating with PrizePicks, Polymarket gains exposure to millions of fantasy sports users who may not have previously engaged with prediction markets.
- Legitimization: Aligning with a regulated operator enhances Polymarket’s credibility and positions it as a serious player in the financial forecasting space.
For the Industry
- Normalization of Prediction Markets: The partnership helps mainstream the concept of event contracts, framing them as legitimate financial products rather than fringe wagers.
- Competitive Pressure: Other fantasy and sports betting operators may feel compelled to explore similar integrations to remain competitive.
- Regulatory Precedent: The successful implementation of this partnership could encourage regulators to expand the scope of permissible event contracts, fostering innovation.
The Evolution of Prediction Markets
Prediction markets have long been touted as powerful tools for aggregating information and forecasting outcomes. By allowing participants to trade on event probabilities, these markets generate real-time signals about collective expectations. Academic studies have shown that prediction markets often outperform traditional polling and expert analysis in forecasting accuracy.
However, the growth of prediction markets has been hampered by regulatory ambiguity. In the U.S., the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has historically been cautious about permitting event contracts, particularly those related to elections. Platforms like Intrade and PredictIt faced regulatory challenges that limited their operations. Kalshi’s approval to offer certain event contracts marked a turning point, but the scope remained narrow.
The PrizePicks-Polymarket partnership represents a further evolution. By embedding prediction markets within a mainstream fantasy sports platform, the collaboration normalizes the practice and expands its reach. It also demonstrates that event contracts can coexist with traditional fantasy contests, creating a hybrid model that appeals to a broad audience.
Potential Market Categories
While the initial rollout will likely focus on sports outcomes, the partnership opens the door to a wide array of prediction categories. These may include:
- Sports: Game results, player milestones, playoff qualifications, championship outcomes.
- Entertainment: Award show winners, box office performance, reality television outcomes.
- Cultural Events: Weather phenomena, technological milestones, societal trends.
- Financial Indicators: IPO launch dates, product release timelines, market performance thresholds.
The diversity of categories ensures that users can engage with events that align with their interests, whether they are sports fans, movie enthusiasts, or technology watchers.
Challenges and Considerations
Despite the promise of the partnership, several challenges remain.
- Regulatory Boundaries: While the FCM license provides a legal framework, regulators may impose limits on the types of permissible event contracts. Political candidate markets, for example, remain highly sensitive.
- User Education: Many fantasy sports users may be unfamiliar with prediction markets. PrizePicks will need to invest in educating users about how event contracts work and how they differ from traditional wagers.
- Liquidity Management: Ensuring sufficient liquidity in prediction markets is essential for accurate pricing. PrizePicks and Polymarket will need to design incentives to attract participation.
- Risk Management: As with any financial product, event contracts carry risks. Operators must implement safeguards to protect users and maintain market integrity.
The Road Ahead
The PrizePicks-Polymarket partnership marks a significant step toward mainstreaming prediction markets in the United States. By combining the popularity of fantasy sports with the forecasting power of event contracts, the collaboration creates a new paradigm for user engagement. It also sets a precedent for how regulated prediction markets can be integrated into consumer platforms, paving the way for broader adoption.
As the partnership unfolds, the industry will be watching closely. Success could inspire other operators to pursue similar ventures, accelerating the growth of prediction markets. It could also encourage regulators to expand the scope of permissible contracts, fostering innovation in financial forecasting. Ultimately, the collaboration represents a convergence of entertainment, finance, and technology—a convergence that may redefine how Americans engage with the events that shape their world.
PrizePicks and Polymarket Partnership Conclusion
The integration of Polymarket’s prediction markets into PrizePicks’ fantasy sports platform is more than a business partnership; it is a regulatory and cultural milestone. By securing federal approval and embedding event contracts within a mainstream app, the collaboration legitimizes prediction markets and expands their reach. For users, it offers a new way to engage with sports and cultural events. For the industry, it sets a precedent for innovation and compliance. And for regulators, it demonstrates that prediction markets can be responsibly integrated into consumer platforms.
As fantasy sports and prediction markets converge, the line between entertainment and financial forecasting continues to blur. The PrizePicks-Polymarket partnership may well be remembered as the moment when prediction markets entered the mainstream, transforming how Americans forecast, debate, and engage with the world around them.
Sources
- National Futures Association – Futures Commission Merchant Registration: https://www.nfa.futures.org
- Commodity Futures Trading Commission – Event Contracts Guidance: https://www.cftc.gov/LawRegulation/EventContracts/index.htm
- Kalshi Regulatory Approval Coverage – Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-17/cftc-approves-kalshi-to-offer-event-contracts
- Polymarket Background – The Block: https://www.theblock.co/post/118000/polymarket-to-pay-1-4m-fine-to-cftc-for-unregistered-event