Crypto.com and Trump Media Launch “Truth Predict” on Truth Social:
The First Social Prediction Market Crypto.com partners with Trump Media to launch Truth Predict on Truth Social — the world’s first regulated prediction market embedded directly into a social media app. Announced on October 28, 2025, this groundbreaking feature allows users to bet on real-world events using CRO tokens and Truth Gems, blending free speech with financial speculation.
What Is Truth Predict?
A Game-Changer in SocialFiTruth Predict is a CFTC-regulated prediction market integrated into the Truth Social app, developed through an exclusive partnership between Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) and Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA).Users can:
- Trade event contracts on politics, sports, economy, and commodities
- Convert Truth Gems to CRO for instant participation
- Share predictions and debate outcomes in real time
- Earn payouts in CRO or fiat upon event resolution
“Truth Predict democratizes information and empowers everyday Americans to harness the wisdom of the crowd.”
— Devin Nunes, CEO of Trump Media
Key Features of Truth Predict on Truth Social
| Feature | Description |
|---|---|
| Regulated by CFTC | Fully compliant via Crypto.com’s CDNA platform |
| Real-Time Pricing | Contracts priced $0.01–$0.99 based on crowd probability |
| Social Integration | Share bets, tag events, and rally followers |
| CRO-Powered | Use CRO or convert Truth Gems 1:1 |
| Zero External Wallets | Trade directly in the Truth Social app |
How Truth Predict Works: Step-by-Step Guide
- Earn or Buy Truth Gems
Post, like, comment, or subscribe to Truth+ to earn gems. - Convert Gems to CRO
1 Truth Gem = 1 CRO (at current market rate, ~$0.15 as of Oct 2025) - Browse Prediction Markets
- Will Trump win the 2028 nomination?
- Will Bitcoin hit $150K by 2026?
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LX?
- Buy “Yes” or “No” Contracts
Example: “Yes” on Bitcoin $150K costs $0.68 → pays $1 if true - Settle & Withdraw
Auto-payout in CRO or USD via Crypto.com
Why This Partnership Matters: Crypto.com + Trump MediaCrypto.com’s Role
- Provides CFTC-licensed infrastructure via CDNA
- Powers CRO token utility with real-world use case
- Expands U.S. regulated crypto offerings
Trump Media’s Vision
- Turns Truth Social into a SocialFi powerhouse
- Monetizes user engagement via Truth Gems
- Challenges Big Tech with financial freedom
TMTG holds ~700M CRO tokens (~$105M), making it one of the largest institutional holders.
CRO Price Impact: +11% After Truth Predict AnnouncementFollowing the October 28 announcement, $CRO surged 11% in 24 hours, outperforming BTC and ETH.
- Trading Volume: +340% on Crypto.com Exchange
- Market Sentiment: Bullish on SocialFi narrative
- Analyst Targets: $0.25–$0.30 by Q1 2026
“CRO is now the backbone of the first social prediction market.” — CoinFund VC Chris Perkins
Truth Predict vs. Polymarket vs. Kalshi: Full Comparison
| Platform | Regulator | Social Features | Token | User Base |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truth Predict | CFTC | Native in Truth Social | CRO | 6.3M+ |
| Polymarket | Offshore (previously probed) | Limited | USDC | Crypto natives |
| Kalshi | CFTC | None | USD | Institutional |
Truth Predict wins on distribution — leveraging Truth Social’s loyal, engaged audience.
Will Truth Social User Growth: From 6M to 10M by 2026? With Truth Predict, TMTG aims to:
- Double active users in 12 months
- Boost daily engagement via gamified betting
- Monetize via Truth+ subscriptions and CRO fees
Truth+ Premium users get 2x Truth Gems, accelerating CRO accumulation.
Is Truth Predict Gambling? Legal & Regulatory Breakdown No — it’s a regulated derivatives market.
- CFTC-approved event contracts are classified as financial instruments
- Not subject to state gambling laws (unlike sports betting)
- CDNA acts as clearinghouse, ensuring trust and settlement
Similar to Kalshi and CME futures, but socially native.
How to Get Started with Truth Predict (Beta Launch Soon)
- Download Truth Social (iOS / Android)
- Verify your account
- Earn Truth Gems through posting and engagement
- Link Crypto.com account (optional for CRO deposits)
- Join the beta waitlist at truthsocial.com/predict
Beta rollout begins Q4 2025 — U.S. users first.
Future of Truth Predict: What’s Next?
| Roadmap Milestone | Timeline |
|---|---|
| Beta Launch | Q4 2025 |
| Sports & Politics Markets | Q1 2026 |
| Global Expansion | Q2 2026 |
| NFT Prediction Badges | 2026 |
| AI-Powered Insights | 2027 |
Truth.Fi to launch “America First” prediction funds using on-chain data.
Expert Reactions: Crypto Leaders Weigh In
“This is SocialFi done right — regulated, social, and scalable.”
— Kris Marszalek, CEO of Crypto.com
“Truth Predict could onboard millions to crypto via memes and markets.”
— Anthony Pompliano, Pomp Investments
“The MAGA crowd now has its own Wall Street.”
— Crypto Twitter (X) trending #TruthPredict
Risks & Challenges
- Echo chamber bias in predictions
- DJT stock volatility (meme-driven)
- Regulatory shifts post-2028
- Addiction concerns with gamified finance
Despite risks, $3B in TMTG assets provide strong runway.
Conclusion: The Dawn of Social Prediction MarketsCrypto.com and Trump Media’s “Truth Predict” is more than a feature — it’s the first blueprint for SocialFi 2.0.By combining:
- CFTC regulation
- CRO utility
- Truth Social’s viral community
…they’ve created a defensible moat in the $10B+ prediction market industry.